Leading academics from the fields of economics, politics, business and history gathered at Jesus College, Cambridge to discuss the key issues of the Economic Crisis with invited
participants from the worlds of politics, finance, industry, the public sector and the media.
Participants and speakers included the following:
Professor Robert Mair, Master of Jesus College, Cambridge
Professor Peter Nolan, Judge
Business School
Professor Lord Eatwell, President Queens’ College, Cambridge
Professor
Martin Daunton, Master, Trinity Hall, Cambridge
Professor Arnoud de Meyer, Director,
Judge Business School
Sir Terry Leahy, CEO, Tesco
Lord Turnbull, former of Cabinet
Secretary and head of the Civil Service
Dominic Casserley, Managing Partner UK,
McKinsey & Co.
Simon Hayes, Chief UK Economist, Barclays Capital
Brandon Davies,
Director, Gatehouse Capital
Sally Keeble MP, Member Treasury Select Committee
Robert
Chote, Director of Institute for Fiscal Studies
Will Hutton, Executive Vice Chair, The Work
Foundation
Professor Geoffrey Harcourt, Jesus College, Cambridge
Professor Ajit Singh,
Queens’ College, Cambridge
Sir Samuel Brittan, The Financial Times
Dr Shailaja Fennell,
Jesus College, Cambridge
Patricia Hewitt MP and former cabinet minister
Raymond van
der Putten, Senior Economist, BNP Paribas
Ken Warwick, Deputy Chief Economic Adviser,
BERR
Christopher Saul, Senior Partner, Slaughter and May
David Strachan, Director
Financial Stability, FSA
Professor Pier Luigi Porta, University of Milan Bicocca
Thomas Harding, European Counsel, Access Industries
Paul
Everitt, CEO, Society of Motor Car Manufacturers
Sue Matthias, journalist, Guardian
John
Harley, Head of Private Equity, Ernst & Young
John Naughton, Professor of Public
Understanding of Technology, OU
James Hudleston, energy sector
Adrian Frost, Fund
manager, Artemis
Dr James Dodd, Director, Anthem Corporate Finance
Joe Herbert,
Professor of Neuroscience, Cambridge University
David Goodhart, Editor, Prospect
Professor Jean Seaton, University of Westminster
Doug Richard, technology entrepreneur
Professor Stephen Heath, Jesus College, Cambridge
Tomas Carruthers, CEO and
Chairman, CAL
Martin Clarke, Partner, Permira
Dr Stoddard Martin, publisher
Jonathan
Cornwell, Director, Media Symposia
Dr Tudor Jenkins, Wide Eyed Vision
Justin Marozzi, historian and
Rustat rapporteur
Dr Kwasi Kwarteng MP, historian and author
John Wilkins, former editor, The
Tablet
John Cornwell, Director, Rustat Conferences.
The Economic Crisis - Conference Report
The speakers led with brief points for discussion followed by a moderated round-table
debate. In the morning Professor Peter Nolan spoke on economic nationalism and China,
Professor Lord Eatwell on the future role of government, Professor Arnoud de Meyer on
Europe. In the afternoon Will Hutton led on banking and financial services, Professor Geoff
Harcourt on Keynes, Professor Martin Daunton on America, and Professor Ajit Singh on the
world economy.
Opinions predictably polarised between gloomy and optimistic; the optimistic view gathering
greater impetus by the end of the meeting. On the pessimistic side, there were fears of
nationally-based centrifugal tendencies, predictions of low or negative economic growth in
developed economies (as signalled by the IMF); a fall in foreign direct investment; social and
political unrest, and an erosion of democracy. One Cassandra claimed that the entire edifice
of global financial markets risked collapse. The G20 had failed to do its job; some thought
there were still major governance issues at the IMF. Others were sceptical about the efficacy
of Britain’s massive fiscal stimulus as a way out of the crisis.
Nobody challenged the need for financial regulation of banking and financial services. The
Basel II Accord, one speaker noted, had failed to warn of the consequences of excessive
financial risk-taking. Until 2008 banks had performed only two stress tests: on the possible
effects of the Y2K bug, and the potential for an avian flu pandemic. Banks had abdicated
their traditional responsibilities for assessing creditworthiness. Banks had not been held to
account, and autocratic CEOs had allowed reckless risk-taking.
The participants called for greater transparency on the part of hedge funds and for the
exposure of off-shore tax evasion. Regulatory failures were legion, particularly by credit-
rating agencies. There had been “trickery” on a grand scale. The world had witnessed “big-
time” business mismanagement, catastrophic failure of judgment, excessive expansion of
balance sheets and contraction of moral responsibility. One speaker said that profit had
been privatised while risk had been socialised. Some participants criticised the Bank of
England for ignoring asset price inflation, questioning whether policy should be determined
by an unelected autocrat - the Governor of the Bank of England.
There was a lively debate on the role and status of China in the crisis. It was widely agreed
that lack of regulation in the West was to blame for the crisis rather than the “China rising”
theory. There were sharp disagreements between speakers over China’s capacity to
overtake the United States in the next two decades.
The optimists were convinced that the reduction of interest rates and the fiscal stimulus
would ensure a short-lived albeit deep-ish downturn, with the world economy soon regaining
a long-term upwards trajectory. One speaker noted that in recent years, the number of
people living in absolute poverty had fallen below one billion for the first time since the end
of the 19th century, thus decisively rejecting Malthus's predictions. Faced with the credit
crunch and the loss of confidence in the financial system, nations of the world have for once
acted in concert and the optimists saw it as a triumph for Keynesian economics that many of
the world’s richest nations had agreed to spend their way out of recession in concert.
The range of issues included the economic future of Europe (Germany in particular);
Keynes’s view that when speculation dominates enterprise, stock exchanges that behave
like casinos; the role of the media in exacerbating the crisis; China and India as “rocks of
stability”; the importance of climate change and energy supply.
The future role of government intervention loomed large in the round-table discussion, and
hence the future of capitalism itself. All were aware of expanding unemployment, debt, and
poverty. Against this background, and in the light of scandal of British MPs’ expenses which
broke in June, the Rustat Panel, led by the Master of Jesus College, Cambridge, concluded
that the next meeting, scheduled for 13 October, will be on the Future of Democracy.
The first Rustat Conference observed the Chatham House rule on the supposition that
politicians and bankers might otherwise not speak freely. The Rustat Conferences Panel has decided that
future meetings should no longer follow the rule, and that the proceedings will be publicly
available.
Participants ProfilesBelow is link to a document containing the profiles of all participants and speakers at the conference:
Read Rustat Conference Attendee List - The Economic Crisis - Jesus College, Cambridge 9 MayPublisher Software from YUDU